Three Months Later, the Liberal Shows No Sign of Fading
The Conservatives have stabilized in the low 30s, but remain far from threatening the Liberal advantage
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for June 6, 2026!
This past week saw three new polls, the weekly Nanos and Liaison trackers, alongside Leger.
Liaison saw the Liberals slip to 41% (-2 compared to May 23), while the Conservatives ticked up to 32% (+1), the NDP rose to an eye watering 16% (+5), and the Bloc sat at 6% (-). The Greens remain at 2% (-), while the PPC dropped to 2% (-1).
Nanos found little change this week, with the Liberals at 40% (-1 compared to May 22), Conservatives at 33% (-), the NDP at 13% (-), and the Bloc at 7% (+1). The Greens were stable at 5% (-), and so were the PPC at 2% (-).
Leger’s newest poll has the Liberals topping 50% (+2 compared to April 26), while the Conservatives dropped to 34% (-3), the NDP remained at 6% (-), and the Bloc also sat at 6% (-). The Greens were up to 3% (+1), while other parties remained at 1% (-).
Overall, the Liberals ticked up to 45% this week (+1 compared to last week), while the Conservatives remained stable at 33% (-), leaving the Liberals twelve points ahead.
The Liberals saw their advantage grow in Atlantic Canada (+3) and Quebec (+1), while it declined in British Columbia (-1) and Ontario (-2). Meanwhile, the Conservative lead in Alberta grew (+1), while ticking up further in Saskatchewan/Manitoba (+2).
Now let’s take a quick look at the rest of the numbers, and the brand-new map for subscribers to use!
