The Opposition Is Running Out Of Seats
Liberal polling is pushing the Conservatives far down in the polls, and nearly removing the NDP from the House
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for March 7, 2026!
This past week saw four new polls, the weekly Nanos and Liaison trackers, Ipsos and Leger.
Liaison saw the Liberals tick down from a recent high to 43% (-2 compared to Feb 21), while the Conservatives sit at 33% (-), NDP at 9% (-), and the Bloc at 6% (-). The Greens and PPC were also stable at 3% and 2%, respectively.
Nanos registered a different trend, with the Liberals jumping to 44% (+3 compared to Feb 20), the Conservatives down to 33% (-1), NDP at 11% (-), and Bloc tanking to 5% (-3). The Greens were stable at 5% (-), alongside the PPC at 1% (-).
Ipsos found the Liberals jumping to 44% (+4 compared to Dec 15), Conservatives ticking down to 36% (-1), NDP down to 8% (-1), and the Bloc down to 7% (-2). The Greens were up to 3% (+1), while the PPC was down to 1% (-1).
Leger’s poll had the Liberals bouncing to 49% (+2 compared to Jan 26), while the Conservatives fell to 35% (-3), the NDP steady at 5% (-), and the Bloc also dipping to 5% (-1). The Greens were up to 3% (+1), while other parties were up to 2% (+1).
Overall, the Liberal lead nationally remains stable, while the NDP saw a dip to 8% this week.
The Liberal lead slipped in Atlantic Canada (-2 compared to last week), and Ontario (-1), while rising in Quebec (+3). The Conservative lead slipped in Saskatchewan/Manitoba (-1), while dipping slightly more in Alberta (-2).
Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines!
