The National Race Continues To Tighten
Every point now matters as the gap narrows further
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for January 10, 2026!
This past week saw two new polls, the weekly Nanos tracker and Liaison.
Liaison saw the Liberals tick down to 38% (-1 compared to Dec 28), the Conservatives steady at 37% (-), and the NDP up to 12% (+1). The Bloc and Greens were both stable at 7% and 3%, respectively, while the PPC dipped (-1).
Nanos found the Liberals stable at 38% (Unchanged compared to Dec 26), with the Conservatives up to 36% (+1), alongside the NDP at 12% (+1). The Bloc was also up this week to 8% (+1), while the Greens were stable at 4% (-), as well as the PPC at 2% (-).
Overall, the Liberal lead nationally remains unchanged.
The Liberal lead in Ontario was down slightly (-1 compared to last week), while they fell behind the Conservatives in British Columbia, losing their one point lead. The Conservatives are now ahead by one in the province.
The Conservative lead in Manitoba and Saskatchewan dipped slightly (-1), while remaining stable in Alberta.
Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines!
