Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for December 13, 2025!
This week saw two new polls, the weekly Nanos tracker and Innovative.
Nanos saw the Liberals drop to 39% (-3 compared to last week), while the Conservatives remained stable at 38% (-). The NDP rose to 10% (+2), while the Bloc slipped to 6% (-1), and the Greens held steady at 3% (-).
Innovative saw little movement at the topline, with the Liberals at 39% (-1 compared to Oct 27), the Conservatives at 38% (-1), and the NDP at 9% (-). The Bloc climbed to 8% (+1), while the Greens also increased to 4% (+1).
Overall, the Liberal lead nationally shrank (-1 compared to last week) on the polling average.
The Liberals also took a hit in Atlantic Canada (-3), while growing their lead in Ontario (+1). Meanwhile, the Conservative lead in British Columbia inched down (-1), while their lead grew in Alberta (+2) and the central prairies (+2).
Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines!
