Liberals Have Finally Peaked On The Model
After weeks of gains, the model levels off with Liberals still firmly in majority territory
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for March 28, 2026!
This past week saw two new polls, the weekly Nanos and Liaison trackers.
Liaison found both major parties ticking up this week, with the Liberals up to 46% (+1 compared to Mar 14), Conservatives at 32% (+1), while the NDP was also up to 9% (+1). The Bloc was up to 7% (+1), while the Greens were stable at 3% (-), and the PPC was down to 2% (-2).
Nanos saw the Liberal lead tick down, with the Grits at 46% (-2 compared to Mar 13), Conservatives up to 33% (+2), NDP at 12% (+1), and Bloc at 5% (-). The Greens were stable at 4% (-), alongside the PPC at 1% (-).
There was also an Atlantic poll released by Narrative that found the Liberals at 67% (+11 compared to the election), Conservatives at 22% (-16), NDP at 9% (+5), Greens at 2% (+1), and PPC at 1% (-)
Overall, the Liberal lead nationally remains stable at thirteen points, with some minor movement regionally.
The Liberal lead grew in Atlantic Canada (+1 compared to last week), while remaining stable in every other region and province they currently hold leads in. The Conservative lead in Alberta rebounded this week (+3), while they inched down in the central prairies (-1).
Liberals saw their lead among women inch down (-1), while remaining stable among men. Meanwhile, their lead among those over 55 years of age also ticked down (-1), alongside those aged 35-54 (-1), while remaining stable among the youngest group of voters.
Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines!
