Liberals Crack 200 Seats On The Model
As polling slows to a crawl this summer, the Liberals maintain their post-election momentum
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for July 26, 2025!
This week we had two new polls with the weekly Nanos update, and EKOS.
Nanos didn’t release their regionals this week, so only the topline has been added into the averages. Nonetheless, this week’s Nanos poll saw the Liberals at 44% (-1 from last week), the Conservatives at 34% (-), and the NDP at 10% (-1). The Bloc saw some improvement at 7% (+1), while the Greens were stable at 2% (-).
EKOS’ newest poll was something of a doozy at the regional level, though on the topline the Liberals sit at 43% (-1 compared to June 4), the Tories at 31% (-1), and the NDP at 13% (-). The Bloc found themselves at 6% (+1), while the Greens and PPC both rose to 4% (+1 for both).
Overall, the Liberals’ lead nationally slipped (-1 compared to last week), while they also lost ground in BC (-1). However, the Liberals did see their leads rise in Atlantic Canada (+2) and Ontario (+1). On the flip side, the Conservatives’ lead in Alberta shrank (-1), with a similar situation in SK and MB (-2).
Let’s take a look at this week’s model!
