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E-8: A Divided Lower Mainland?

New riding polls suggests Vancouver leaning Liberal, while Conservatives show surprising strength in Surrey and Langley

Curtis Fric's avatar
Curtis Fric
Apr 19, 2025
∙ Paid

Here’s your election update for April 19, 2025!

We received two new polls from Mainstreet (CPC +2), and Liaison (LPC +5). Nanos did not poll on Good Friday, but will resume with public releases tomorrow.

The national topline remains unchanged, with the Liberals still six points ahead of the Conservatives on average. The NDP still remains at half of their 2021 support, while the Bloc is down about seven points in Quebec.



The Liberal lead in Atlantic Canada rose by one point since yesterday, while their lead in Ontario dipped by two. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have increased their lead in Alberta by one point, thanks to Mainstreet’s latest poll having the party over 70% in the province.

Let’s take a look at today’s model, and other interesting data points!


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