E-5: Polls Are Tightening, Seats Are Not
While the polls narrow, the seat count remains stable, as Elections Canada announces record-breaking early voter turnout
Here’s your election update for April 22, 2025!
We received eight new polls from Mainstreet (Tied), EKOS (LPC +2), Ipsos (LPC +3), Leger (LPC +4), Angus Reid (LPC +5), Liaison (LPC +6), and Nanos (LPC +6).
There’s also a new Abacus poll that has the Liberals ahead by three-points, which has been added into the averages for today, but has not yet been released publicly.
The Liberals saw their lead narrow nationally by one point, now leaving them five-points ahead of the Conservatives (43% - 38%), while the other parties remain stable.
The Liberal lead dropped in Atlantic Canada (-2 since yesterday), Ontario (-1), and Quebec (-1). The Conservatives saw their lead in Manitoba/Saskatchewan increase by three points in the same period.
While the NDP maintained it strength in British Columbia and Alberta, they dropped one point in Ontario, Quebec, and the central prairies.
Let’s take a look at today’s model, and other interesting polling from today!
