E-4: Are The Polls Baked In?

While election day can buck the trend, the polls suggest little change in the race for government

Apr 23, 2025

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Here’s your election update for April 23, 2025!

We received four new polls from Mainstreet (LPC +1), Liaison (LPC +3), Abacus (LPC +3), Nanos (LPC +5).

Abacus was already included in yesterday’s model update, while Liaison and Mainstreet were late, so they’ll be added in for tomorrow’s update. As a result, Nanos is the only new poll added into the averages.

Nanos does very little to move the dial, with the Liberals up one point in Atlantic Canada, and stable everywhere else.

Let’s take a quick look at today’s model update, alongside other interesting polling!

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