E-3: When The Polls Differ
Regional polling in Atlantic Canada suggests a rosier picture for the Liberals than national polls do
Here’s your election update for April 24, 2025!
We received three new polls from Innovative (Tied), Mainstreet (LPC +3), and Nanos (LPC +4).
We also got regional polling out of Atlantic Canada from Narrative, and Manitoba polling from Probe, with more on those later.
The Liberals maintain a five-point lead over the Conservatives with less than four days until election day. The NDP and Bloc are also stable at 9% and 6% (25% in Quebec), respectively.
The Liberals saw their lead in Atlantic Canada drop (-4 since yesterday), while increasing their lead in British Columbia (+1).
The Conservative lead in Alberta remained stable, while their lead dropped by six-points in Saskatchewan/Manitoba.
Let’s take a look at today’s model, alongside those regional polls!
