Conservatives Hit Their Lowest Yet On The Model
As the economy hits a rough patch, now should be as good a time as any for the Conservatives, right?
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for May 30, 2026!
This past week saw four new polls, the weekly Nanos and Liaison trackers, alongside Abacus, and Pallas.
Liaison found the Liberals stable at 43% (Unchanged compared to May 16), with the Conservatives dropping to 31% (-3), the NDP stable at 11% (-), and the Bloc at 6% (-). The PPC was up to 3% (+1), with the Greens remaining at 2% (-).
Nanos saw the Liberals drop to 41% (-1 compared to May 15), with the Conservatives even at 33% (-), NDP up to 13% (+1), and Bloc at 6% (-). The Greens were also up to 5% (+1), while the PPC was even at 2% (-).
Abacus had the Liberals at their highest yet in their polling at 47% (+1 compared to May 6), with the Conservatives slipped to 35% (-1), NDP were stable at 8% (-), and the Bloc stayed at 6% (-). The Greens were down to 2% (-1), while the PPC stayed at 1% (-).
Pallas gave us an update compared to their January 12th poll, that found the Liberals at 45% (+5), Conservatives at 32% (-5), the NDP stable at 11% (-), the Bloc at 7% (-), and Greens at 3% (-).
Overall, both the Liberals and Conservatives were down one point this week, leaving the Liberal lead over their Conservative rivals stable at eleven points.
The Liberal advantage expanded in places like Ontario (+4) and British Columbia (+2), while it narrowed in Atlantic Canada (-3) and Quebec (-2). Meanwhile, the Conservative lead in the Prairies grew (+3), while remaining unchanged in Alberta.
Now let’s take a quick look at the rest of the numbers.
