Carney Rides High as Conservative Support Slips
Post-election polling finds the Conservatives slipping in the polls as Carney's honeymoon continues
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for June 14, 2025!
This week we had two new polls from Abacus, and the weekly Nanos update.
Abacus found the Liberals at 42%, with the Conservatives at 39%. The NDP and Bloc remain at 8% and 6% (29% in Quebec), respectively. The Greens were trending higher in Abacus’ survey, sitting at 3%.
Nanos saw the Conservatives drop further in their weekly tracking, with the Liberals at 43% and the Tories down to 33%. The NDP saw a notable recovery, rising to 12%, while the Bloc remained at 7%. The Greens also had a good week in the Nanos tracking, rising to 4%.
We also received an Alberta sample from Léger showing the Conservatives down ten points from their election result, ending at 54%. The Liberals rose seven points to reach 35%, while the NDP slipped slightly to 5%.
Let’s take a look at the model this week!




