CAQ Comeback Shakes Up Quebec Race
Quebec’s latest polling averages point toward a far more competitive election
Welcome to the Quebec update for May 20, 2026!
In the past month we’ve had about five new polls, so let’s run through them and see where they’re at!
Sypnopsis came out with their first poll since the previous election, with their results showing the Liberals at 30%, PQ at 30%, the CAQ at 18%, the Conservatives at 13%, and the QS at 8%.
Pallas’ most recent poll had the PQ at 29% (Unchanged compared to Apr 14), Liberals at 28% (-4), CAQ at 19% (+5), Conservatives at 14% (-), and the QS at 8% (-3).
Leger’s latest poll had the PQ remaining at 30% (-1 compared to Apr 20), with the Liberals stable at 28% (-), and the CAQ rising to 22% (+5). The Conservatives were down to 11% (-3), while the QS remained at 8% (-).
Mainstreet’s newest poll has a surprise result, with the Liberals at 31% (+2 compared to June 2025), the CAQ jumping to 25% (+9), and the PQ down to 23% (-8). The Conservatives remain generally unchanged at 14% (-), with the QS down to 7% (-1).
The last poll in the order to be released was Liaison, who found the Liberals at 32% (No previous poll to report to), PQ at 32%, the CAQ at 16%, the Conservatives at 11%, and the QS at 7%.
Let’s see where all of these polls put the averages and where those averages take us!
