Canadians Trust Carney More Than Poilievre On The Economy
The Liberals retain a comfortable lead on the model as September comes to an end
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for September 27, 2025!
This week we had four new polls from Angus Reid, Abacus Data, Liaison, and the weekly Nanos tracker.
Angus Reid found the Conservatives maintaining their lead with 41% (+1 compared to September 4), Liberals at 38% (-), and NDP at 10% (-). The Bloc remains high at 8% (-), while the Greens are stable at 2% (-).
Abacus Data’s survey found the two parties in a dead heat, with the Liberals at 40% (-3 compared to September 2), Conservatives at 40% (-), and NDP at 8% (+2). The Bloc is steady at 7% (-), and the Greens are up to 3% (+1).
Liaison also found the Conservatives inching up, with the Liberals at 43% (-1 compared to August 27), Conservatives at 37% (+2), and NDP stable at 10% (-). The Bloc sits at 5% (-) and the Greens and PPC are both at 2% apiece, unchanged.
Lastly, Nanos found the Liberal lead slipping, with the Grits at 41% (-1 compared to September 12), Conservatives at 36% (+1), and NDP at 12% (-1). The Bloc, Greens, and PPC were all unchanged at 8%, 3%, and 2% respectively.
As a result, the Liberal lead nationally shrunk (-1 compared to last week), with their leads declining in Ontario (-2), Quebec (-2), and British Columbia (-2). Meanwhile, the Conservatives expanded their lead in the central prairies (+3).
With that, let’s take a look at this week’s model alongside other polls from the week!
