Budget Week Begins With a Liberal Poll Boost
And what's going on with Alberta provincial polling?
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for November 1, 2025!
This week saw two new polls, the weekly Nanos tracker, and EKOS.
Nanos’ poll this week found the Liberals at 39% (Unchanged from last week), the Conservatives at 37% (-), the NDP at 13% (+1), and the Bloc at 7% (-). The Greens dipped to 2% (-1), while the PPC was steady at 1% (-).
EKOS’ poll is a real outlier among the pollsters right now, with the Liberals at 44% (+2 compared to Sept 12), the Conservatives at 32% (-2), the NDP at 12% (-1), and the Bloc at 6% (+1). The Greens and PPC were both stable at 3% and 2%, respectively.
Overall, the Liberal lead grew slightly (+1 compared to last week). Their lead also increased in Atlantic Canada (+6) and Ontario (+1), while their lead in Quebec slipped (-1).
The Conservatives saw their lead in the central prairies tick down (-2), while remaining stable in Alberta.
Let’s dig into the model and this week’s polls!
