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Budget Passed, No Election In Sight

The Polling Canada model suggests the Liberals remain comfortably ahead, for now

Curtis Fric's avatar
Curtis Fric
Nov 22, 2025
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Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for November 22, 2025!

This week saw three new polls, the weekly Nanos, Angus Reid, and EKOS.

Nanos saw the Liberals stable at 40% (Unchanged compared to Nov 7), Conservatives up to 38% (+1), NDP down to 10% (-1), Bloc down to 7% (-1), and Greens at 2% (-).

Angus Reid found the Liberals at 40% (+2 compared to Sept 22), Conservatives at 38% (-3), NDP at 9% (-1), Bloc at 8% (-), Greens at 3% (+1), and PPC at 1% (-).

EKOS’ survey found the Liberals at 44% (+1 compared to Nov 4), Conservatives at 33% (-3), NDP at 11% (+3), Bloc at 5% (-1), Greens at 3% (-1), and PPC at 2% (-).



As a result, the situation remains stable at the national level.

The Liberal lead in British Columbia slipped a point, now leaving the Conservatives ahead in the province by one point. The Conservatives also grew their lead in Manitoba and Saskatchewan (+3 compared to last week), while their lead inched down in Alberta (-1).

Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines!


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