Bloc Slips as Liberals Rise in Quebec
Poilievre finally bottoms out in the preferred Prime Minister numbers, for now
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for July 5, 2025!
This week we had one new poll, the weekly Nanos update, alongside the Mainstreet poll that was released last Friday.
Nanos has the Liberals at 45% (unchanged from last week), while the Conservatives remain steady at 31%. The NDP ticks up to 13% (+1), while the Bloc and Greens are stable at 6% and 3%, respectively.
Mainstreet released their first post-election poll, showing the Liberals rising to 47% (+3 compared to the election results). The Conservatives dipped to 38% (-3), while the NDP remains steady at 6%. The Bloc fell significantly to 3% nationally (-3), now tied with the Greens, who rose to 3% (+2).
Regionally, the Liberals saw their lead shrink in Atlantic Canada (-3 from last week), but widened their advantage in Ontario (+1) and Quebec (+4). Meanwhile, the Conservatives expanded their lead in Manitoba and Saskatchewan (+6).
Let’s take a look at this week’s model!
