As The Fall Sitting Kicks Off, Liberals Remain On Top
Polling finds the leaderless NDP slowly recovering, while Canadians turn away from the United States
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for September 20, 2025!
This week we had four new polls Ipsos, Research Co, EKOS, and the weekly Nanos tracker.
Ipsos released its first poll since the election, with the Liberals at 43%, Conservatives at 39%, NDP at 7%, Bloc at 7%, PPC at 2%, and Greens at 1%.
Research Co’s poll finds the Liberals at 43% (-4 since July 2), Conservatives at 38% (+1), NDP at 8% (+2), and Bloc at 6% (-). The Greens finished at 2% (-) and PPC at 1% (-).
EKOS’ latest poll has the Liberals at 42% (-1 since July 14), Conservatives at 34% (+3), NDP at 13% (-), and Bloc at 5% (-1). The Greens dipped to 3% (-1), as well as the PPC to 2% (-2).
Lastly, Nanos’ poll found the Liberals at 42% (-1 compared to last week), Conservatives at 33% (+2), NDP at 13% (-), and Bloc at 6% (+1). The Greens dipped to 3% (-1), while the PPC was stable at 2% (-).
Overall, the national lead for the Liberals remains unchanged, while their support in Atlantic Canada dipped (-3), and their lead in Ontario rose (+2). The Conservatives lead in Alberta grew (+3), while remaining steady in the central prairies.
With that, let’s take a look at this week’s model alongside other polls from the week!
