Another Slew of Polls, A Bump for the Liberals
This week saw a decline for the already minimized NDP, reducing their seat count once again
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for November 15, 2025!
This week saw five new polls, the weekly Nanos, North Poll Strategies, Liaison, Abacus, Mainstreet
Nanos found some movement this week, with the Liberals rising to 40% (+1 from last week), Conservatives at 37% (-), NDP at 11% (-2), Bloc at 8% (+1), Greens at 2% (-), and the PPC dipping to 1% (-1).
North Poll Strategies, a newcomer to the scene, put out their first post election poll, with the Liberals and Conservatives at 40%, NDP and Bloc at 8%, the Greens at 3%, and PPC at 1%.
Liaison’s post-budget poll finds the Liberals growing their lead compared to their pre-budget poll, with the Liberals at 44% (+2 compared to Nov 3), Conservatives at 36% (-2), NDP at 10% (-1), Bloc at 6% (+1), Greens at 2% (-), and PPC at 1% (-).
Abacus’ latest poll finds little movement, with the Conservatives at 41% (-1 compared to Oct 29), Liberals at 40% (-), NDP at 8% (-), Bloc at 7% (+1), Greens at 3% (-1), and PPC at 1% (-).
Finally, Mainstreet’s latest poll finds the Liberals at 44% (+2), Conservatives at 40% (-), Bloc at 6% (+1), NDP at 5% (-3), Greens at 2% (+1), and PPC at 2% (-).
With another sizeable batch of polls out this week, the averages have shifted again.
The Liberal lead nationally grew this week (+1 compared to last week), while their lead also grew in Atlantic Canada (+1) and Ontario (+1). On the other hand, their lead shrunk some in Quebec (-2), while the Conservative lead in the central prairies also slipped (-3), and grew in Alberta (+1).
Let us take a look at this week’s model and other polls making headlines.
